Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2024 W2 · NO at DAL	37% / 63%	44–19	43%	Miss
2024 W2 · NYG at WAS	31% / 69%	18–21	47%	Correct
2024 W2 · NYJ at TEN	45% / 55%	24–17	38%	Miss
2024 W2 · PIT at DEN	53% / 47%	13–6	36%	Correct
2024 W2 · SEA at NE	55% / 45%	23–20	38%	Correct
2024 W2 · SF at MIN	64% / 36%	17–23	43%	Miss
2024 W2 · TB at DET	40% / 60%	20–16	40%	Miss
2024 W1 · ARI at BUF	26% / 74%	28–34	43%	Correct
2024 W1 · BAL at KC	59% / 41%	20–27	32%	Miss
2024 W1 · CAR at NO	28% / 72%	10–47	41%	Correct
2024 W1 · DAL at CLE	62% / 38%	33–17	35%	Correct
2024 W1 · DEN at SEA	53% / 47%	20–26	28%	Miss
2024 W1 · GB at PHI	60% / 40%	29–34	33%	Miss
2024 W1 · HOU at IND	50% / 50%	29–27	26%	Correct
2024 W1 · JAX at MIA	32% / 68%	17–20	38%	Correct
2024 W1 · LAR at DET	31% / 69%	20–26	40%	Correct
2024 W1 · LV at LAC	40% / 60%	10–22	33%	Correct
2024 W1 · MIN at NYG	65% / 35%	28–6	36%	Correct
2024 W1 · NE at CIN	32% / 68%	16–10	39%	Miss
2024 W1 · NYJ at SF	27% / 73%	19–32	42%	Correct
2024 W1 · PIT at ATL	46% / 54%	18–10	29%	Miss
2024 W1 · TEN at CHI	34% / 66%	17–24	37%	Correct
2024 W1 · WAS at TB	27% / 73%	20–37	42%	Correct
2023 W18 · ATL at NO	35% / 65%	17–48	68%	Correct
2023 W18 · BUF at MIA	43% / 57%	21–14	62%	Miss
2023 W18 · CHI at GB	45% / 55%	9–17	61%	Correct
2023 W18 · CLE at CIN	62% / 38%	14–31	65%	Miss
2023 W18 · DAL at WAS	76% / 24%	38–10	75%	Correct
2023 W18 · DEN at LV	43% / 57%	14–27	62%	Correct
2023 W18 · HOU at IND	37% / 63%	23–19	66%	Miss
2023 W18 · JAX at TEN	47% / 53%	20–28	59%	Correct
2023 W18 · KC at LAC	62% / 38%	13–12	66%	Correct
2023 W18 · LAR at SF	26% / 74%	21–20	74%	Miss
2023 W18 · MIN at DET	31% / 69%	20–30	71%	Correct
2023 W18 · NYJ at NE	34% / 66%	17–3	68%	Miss
2023 W18 · PHI at NYG	75% / 25%	10–27	74%	Miss
2023 W18 · PIT at BAL	17% / 83%	17–10	81%	Miss
2023 W18 · SEA at ARI	42% / 58%	21–20	63%	Miss
2023 W18 · TB at CAR	61% / 39%	9–0	65%	Correct
2023 W17 · ARI at PHI	23% / 77%	35–31	75%	Miss