Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2023 W17 · ATL at CHI	32% / 68%	17–37	69%	Correct
2023 W17 · CAR at JAX	37% / 63%	0–26	66%	Correct
2023 W17 · CIN at KC	34% / 66%	17–25	68%	Correct
2023 W17 · DET at DAL	38% / 62%	19–20	65%	Correct
2023 W17 · GB at MIN	42% / 58%	33–10	63%	Miss
2023 W17 · LAC at DEN	41% / 59%	9–16	63%	Correct
2023 W17 · LAR at NYG	73% / 27%	26–25	73%	Correct
2023 W17 · LV at IND	36% / 64%	20–23	67%	Correct
2023 W17 · MIA at BAL	45% / 55%	19–56	60%	Correct
2023 W17 · NE at BUF	24% / 76%	21–27	75%	Correct
2023 W17 · NO at TB	42% / 58%	23–13	62%	Miss
2023 W17 · NYJ at CLE	16% / 84%	20–37	80%	Correct
2023 W17 · PIT at SEA	41% / 60%	30–23	63%	Miss
2023 W17 · SF at WAS	74% / 26%	27–10	74%	Correct
2023 W17 · TEN at HOU	45% / 55%	3–26	61%	Correct
2023 W16 · ARI at CHI	37% / 63%	16–27	66%	Correct
2023 W16 · BAL at SF	35% / 65%	33–19	67%	Miss
2023 W16 · BUF at LAC	63% / 37%	24–22	66%	Correct
2023 W16 · CIN at PIT	68% / 32%	11–34	69%	Miss
2023 W16 · CLE at HOU	68% / 33%	36–22	69%	Correct
2023 W16 · DAL at MIA	49% / 51%	20–22	57%	Correct
2023 W16 · DET at MIN	64% / 36%	30–24	66%	Correct
2023 W16 · GB at CAR	56% / 44%	33–30	61%	Correct
2023 W16 · IND at ATL	51% / 49%	10–29	57%	Miss
2023 W16 · JAX at TB	47% / 53%	12–30	59%	Correct
2023 W16 · LV at KC	23% / 77%	20–14	76%	Miss
2023 W16 · NE at DEN	33% / 67%	26–23	68%	Miss
2023 W16 · NO at LAR	42% / 58%	22–30	62%	Correct
2023 W16 · NYG at PHI	20% / 80%	25–33	77%	Correct
2023 W16 · SEA at TEN	40% / 60%	20–17	63%	Miss
2023 W16 · WAS at NYJ	63% / 37%	28–30	65%	Miss
2023 W15 · ATL at CAR	51% / 49%	7–9	56%	Miss
2023 W15 · BAL at JAX	59% / 41%	23–7	62%	Correct
2023 W15 · CHI at CLE	35% / 65%	17–20	66%	Correct
2023 W15 · DAL at BUF	58% / 42%	10–31	62%	Miss
2023 W15 · DEN at DET	31% / 69%	17–42	69%	Correct
2023 W15 · HOU at TEN	53% / 47%	19–16	58%	Correct
2023 W15 · KC at NE	72% / 28%	27–17	71%	Correct
2023 W15 · LAC at LV	53% / 47%	21–63	58%	Miss
2023 W15 · MIN at CIN	38% / 62%	24–27	64%	Correct