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2023 · Week 17 · v0.2 · regular season

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

DET
38%
DAL
62%
Predicted winner
DAL
Confidence
65%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1920

Winner DAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 DAL
  • Passing defense+0.2 DAL
  • Scoring differential+0.1 DAL
  • Rushing defense−0.1 DET