Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2025 W18 · ARI at LAR	24% / 76%	20–37	76%	Correct
2025 W18 · BAL at PIT	40% / 60%	24–26	64%	Correct
2025 W18 · CAR at TB	30% / 70%	14–16	71%	Correct
2025 W18 · CLE at CIN	33% / 67%	20–18	69%	Miss
2025 W18 · DAL at NYG	65% / 35%	17–34	68%	Miss
2025 W18 · DET at CHI	57% / 43%	19–16	62%	Correct
2025 W18 · GB at MIN	70% / 30%	3–16	72%	Miss
2025 W18 · IND at HOU	37% / 63%	30–38	67%	Correct
2025 W18 · KC at LV	64% / 36%	12–14	67%	Miss
2025 W18 · LAC at DEN	39% / 61%	3–19	65%	Correct
2025 W18 · MIA at NE	28% / 72%	10–38	72%	Correct
2025 W18 · NO at ATL	37% / 63%	17–19	66%	Correct
2025 W18 · NYJ at BUF	18% / 82%	8–35	80%	Correct
2025 W18 · SEA at SF	48% / 52%	13–3	58%	Miss
2025 W18 · TEN at JAX	22% / 78%	7–41	77%	Correct
2025 W18 · WAS at PHI	22% / 78%	24–17	77%	Miss
2025 W17 · ARI at CIN	43% / 57%	14–37	62%	Correct
2025 W17 · BAL at GB	44% / 56%	41–24	61%	Miss
2025 W17 · CHI at SF	38% / 62%	38–42	65%	Correct
2025 W17 · DAL at WAS	56% / 44%	30–23	61%	Correct
2025 W17 · DEN at KC	65% / 35%	20–13	67%	Correct
2025 W17 · DET at MIN	71% / 29%	10–23	72%	Miss
2025 W17 · HOU at LAC	46% / 54%	20–16	59%	Miss
2025 W17 · JAX at IND	49% / 51%	23–17	57%	Miss
2025 W17 · LAR at ATL	69% / 31%	24–27	70%	Miss
2025 W17 · NE at NYJ	73% / 27%	42–10	73%	Correct
2025 W17 · NO at TEN	52% / 48%	34–26	58%	Correct
2025 W17 · NYG at LV	57% / 43%	34–10	62%	Correct
2025 W17 · PHI at BUF	43% / 57%	13–12	62%	Miss
2025 W17 · PIT at CLE	63% / 37%	6–13	66%	Miss
2025 W17 · SEA at CAR	72% / 28%	27–10	72%	Correct
2025 W17 · TB at MIA	65% / 35%	17–20	67%	Miss
2025 W16 · ATL at ARI	46% / 54%	26–19	59%	Miss
2025 W16 · BUF at CLE	72% / 28%	23–20	72%	Correct
2025 W16 · CIN at MIA	39% / 61%	45–21	64%	Miss
2025 W16 · GB at CHI	52% / 48%	16–22	58%	Miss
2025 W16 · JAX at DEN	37% / 63%	34–20	65%	Miss
2025 W16 · KC at TEN	75% / 25%	9–26	74%	Miss
2025 W16 · LAC at DAL	49% / 52%	34–17	57%	Miss
2025 W16 · LAR at SEA	49% / 51%	37–38	57%	Correct