Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

BAL

40%

PIT

60%

Predicted winner

PIT

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–26

Winner PIT. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.7 PIT
• Home field+0.3 PIT
• Rushing offense−0.2 BAL
• QB completion %−0.2 BAL