Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins

Before kickoff

CIN

39%

MIA

61%

Predicted winner

MIA

Confidence

64%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

45–21

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.3 MIA
• Home field+0.3 MIA
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN
• Rushing offense+0.1 MIA