New York Giants at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

NYG

57%

LV

43%

Predicted winner

NYG

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–10

Winner NYG. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 LV
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 NYG
• Rushing offense−0.2 NYG
• Scoring−0.2 NYG