Kansas City Chiefs at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

KC

75%

TEN

25%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

9–26

Winner TEN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.4 KC
• Scoring differential−0.3 KC
• Home field+0.3 TEN
• Scoring−0.2 KC