Los Angeles Chargers at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

LAC

49%

DAL

52%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

57%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–17

Winner LAC. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 DAL
• Scoring+0.2 DAL
• Win percentage−0.2 LAC
• Scoring differential−0.1 LAC