Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants

Before kickoff

DAL

65%

NYG

35%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–34

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.3 NYG
• Scoring−0.2 DAL
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 DAL
• Win percentage−0.2 DAL