Carolina Panthers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

CAR

37%

JAX

63%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

0–26

Winner JAX. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 JAX
• Scoring+0.3 JAX
• Passing defense−0.3 CAR
• Scoring differential+0.2 JAX