New York Jets at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

NYJ

16%

CLE

84%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

80%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–37

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt+0.9 CLE
• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Scoring+0.4 CLE
• Rushing defense+0.1 CLE