Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

HOU

53%

TEN

47%

Predicted winner

HOU

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

19–16

Winner HOU. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 HOU
• Passing offense+0.2 TEN
• Scoring−0.1 HOU