Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Before kickoff

CIN

68%

PIT

32%

Predicted winner

CIN

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

11–34

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.8 CIN
• Home field+0.6 PIT
• Scoring−0.4 CIN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.2 CIN