Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills

Before kickoff

DAL

58%

BUF

42%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–31

Winner BUF. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 BUF
• Scoring−0.2 DAL
• Interception rate−0.1 DAL
• Turnovers+0.1 BUF