Green Bay Packers at Carolina Panthers

Before kickoff

GB

56%

CAR

44%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–30

Winner GB. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CAR
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 GB
• Scoring−0.3 GB
• Scoring differential−0.2 GB