Pittsburgh Steelers at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

PIT

41%

SEA

60%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

63%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–23

Winner PIT. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SEA
• Scoring+0.3 SEA
• Rushing defense−0.2 PIT
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 SEA