Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans

Before kickoff

CLE

68%

HOU

33%

Predicted winner

CLE

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

36–22

Winner CLE. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 HOU
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 CLE
• Passing defense−0.3 CLE
• Interception rate+0.2 HOU