Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2023 W15 · NYG at NO	39% / 61%	6–24	64%	Correct
2023 W15 · NYJ at MIA	16% / 85%	0–30	80%	Correct
2023 W15 · PHI at SEA	75% / 25%	17–20	73%	Miss
2023 W15 · PIT at IND	32% / 68%	13–30	68%	Correct
2023 W15 · SF at ARI	77% / 23%	45–29	75%	Correct
2023 W15 · TB at GB	45% / 55%	34–20	59%	Miss
2023 W15 · WAS at LAR	37% / 63%	20–28	65%	Correct
2023 W14 · BUF at KC	45% / 55%	20–17	59%	Miss
2023 W14 · CAR at NO	39% / 61%	6–28	63%	Correct
2023 W14 · DEN at LAC	42% / 58%	24–7	61%	Miss
2023 W14 · DET at CHI	65% / 35%	13–28	65%	Miss
2023 W14 · GB at NYG	59% / 41%	22–24	61%	Miss
2023 W14 · HOU at NYJ	80% / 20%	6–30	76%	Miss
2023 W14 · IND at CIN	49% / 51%	14–34	56%	Correct
2023 W14 · JAX at CLE	54% / 46%	27–31	58%	Miss
2023 W14 · LAR at BAL	23% / 77%	31–37	74%	Correct
2023 W14 · MIN at LV	62% / 38%	3–0	64%	Correct
2023 W14 · NE at PIT	43% / 57%	21–18	60%	Miss
2023 W14 · PHI at DAL	37% / 63%	13–33	65%	Correct
2023 W14 · SEA at SF	20% / 80%	16–28	76%	Correct
2023 W14 · TB at ATL	49% / 51%	29–25	56%	Miss
2023 W14 · TEN at MIA	22% / 78%	28–27	75%	Miss
2023 W13 · ARI at PIT	40% / 60%	24–10	61%	Miss
2023 W13 · ATL at NYJ	65% / 35%	13–8	65%	Correct
2023 W13 · CAR at TB	36% / 64%	18–21	65%	Correct
2023 W13 · CIN at JAX	27% / 73%	34–31	71%	Miss
2023 W13 · CLE at LAR	46% / 54%	19–36	57%	Correct
2023 W13 · DEN at HOU	41% / 59%	17–22	61%	Correct
2023 W13 · DET at NO	71% / 29%	33–28	70%	Correct
2023 W13 · IND at TEN	53% / 47%	31–28	57%	Correct
2023 W13 · KC at GB	65% / 35%	19–27	65%	Miss
2023 W13 · LAC at NE	64% / 36%	6–0	64%	Correct
2023 W13 · MIA at WAS	68% / 32%	45–15	67%	Correct
2023 W13 · SEA at DAL	22% / 78%	35–41	74%	Correct
2023 W13 · SF at PHI	51% / 49%	42–19	55%	Correct
2023 W12 · BAL at LAC	60% / 40%	20–10	61%	Correct
2023 W12 · BUF at PHI	40% / 60%	34–37	61%	Correct
2023 W12 · CAR at TEN	41% / 59%	10–17	60%	Correct
2023 W12 · CHI at MIN	31% / 69%	12–10	68%	Miss
2023 W12 · CLE at DEN	38% / 62%	12–29	62%	Correct