Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

CHI

31%

MIN

69%

Predicted winner

MIN

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

12–10

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• Interception rate+0.3 MIN
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 MIN
• Passing offense−0.3 CHI