Jacksonville Jaguars at Cleveland Browns

Before kickoff

JAX

54%

CLE

46%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

27–31

Winner CLE. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 JAX
• Home field+0.6 CLE
• Passing defense+0.3 CLE
• QB completion %+0.2 CLE