Buffalo Bills at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

BUF

40%

PHI

60%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–37

Winner PHI. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.2 PHI
• Win percentage+0.1 PHI
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 PHI