Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Before kickoff

DET

65%

CHI

35%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–28

Winner CHI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 CHI
• Scoring−0.4 DET
• QB yards/attempt−0.4 DET
• Interception rate−0.3 DET