Washington Commanders at Los Angeles Rams

Before kickoff

WAS

37%

LAR

63%

Predicted winner

LAR

Confidence

65%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–28

Winner LAR. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAR
• QB yards/attempt+0.2 LAR
• Scoring differential+0.2 LAR
• Scoring+0.1 LAR