Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Green Bay Packers

Before kickoff

TB

45%

GB

55%

Predicted winner

GB

Confidence

59%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

34–20

Winner TB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 GB
• Rushing defense−0.3 TB
• Passing defense+0.2 GB
• Scoring+0.1 GB