Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts

Before kickoff

PIT

32%

IND

68%

Predicted winner

IND

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–30

Winner IND. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 IND
• QB yards/attempt+0.3 IND
• Scoring+0.3 IND
• Points allowed+0.1 IND