Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

DET

71%

NO

29%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

70%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

33–28

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• QB yards/attempt−0.7 DET
• Home field+0.6 NO
• Scoring−0.4 DET
• QB completion %+0.2 NO