Baltimore Ravens at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

BAL

60%

LAC

40%

Predicted winner

BAL

Confidence

61%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–10

Winner BAL. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAC
• Passing defense−0.3 BAL
• Scoring differential−0.2 BAL
• Passing offense−0.2 BAL