Denver Broncos at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

DEN

31%

DET

69%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

69%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–42

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DET
• Scoring+0.3 DET
• Rushing defense+0.2 DET
• Passing offense−0.2 DEN