Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs

Before kickoff

CIN

34%

KC

66%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

68%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

17–25

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 KC
• Passing defense+0.2 KC
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 CIN
• Scoring differential+0.1 KC