Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings

Before kickoff

DET

64%

MIN

36%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

30–24

Winner DET. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 MIN
• QB yards/attempt−0.5 DET
• Scoring−0.3 DET
• QB completion %+0.1 MIN