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2023 · Week 18 · v0.2 · regular season

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

CLE
62%
CIN
38%
Predicted winner
CLE
Confidence
65%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1431

Winner CIN. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 CIN
  • Passing defense−0.3 CLE
  • Turnovers−0.2 CLE
  • Interception rate+0.2 CIN