New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

Before kickoff

NYJ

45%

TEN

55%

Predicted winner

TEN

Confidence

38%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

24–17

Winner NYJ. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 TEN
• Rushing defense+0.2 TEN
• QB yards/attempt−0.1 NYJ
• Passing efficiency−0.1 NYJ