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2024 · Week 1 · v0.2 · regular season

Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

MIN
65%
NYG
35%
Predicted winner
MIN
Confidence
36%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

286

Winner MIN. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Home field+0.6 NYG
  • QB yards/attempt−0.5 MIN
  • Scoring−0.3 MIN
  • Rushing defense−0.2 MIN