Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers

Before kickoff

KC

62%

LAC

38%

Predicted winner

KC

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

13–12

Winner KC. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LAC
• Passing defense−0.2 KC
• QB yards/attempt−0.2 KC
• Interception rate+0.2 LAC