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2023 · Week 18 · v0.2 · regular season

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants

All historical predictions

Before kickoff

PHI
75%
NYG
25%
Predicted winner
PHI
Confidence
74%
Snapshot
In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

1027

Winner NYG. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

  • Scoring−0.6 PHI
  • Home field+0.6 NYG
  • QB yards/attempt−0.4 PHI
  • Rushing defense−0.2 PHI