New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys

Before kickoff

NO

37%

DAL

63%

Predicted winner

DAL

Confidence

43%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

44–19

Winner NO. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 DAL
• Scoring+0.1 DAL
• Recent form+0.1 DAL
• QB yards/attempt+0.1 DAL