2024 · Week 1 · v0.2 · regular season
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles
Before kickoff
- GB
- 60%
- PHI
- 40%
- Predicted winner
- GB
- Confidence
- 33%
- Snapshot
- In-season walk-forward
Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.
Final
29–34
Winner PHI. Kickoff was incorrect.
Why the model leaned this way
Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.
- QB yards/attempt−0.3 GB
- Scoring+0.2 PHI
- Rushing defense+0.2 PHI
- QB completion %+0.1 PHI