Carolina Panthers at New Orleans Saints

Before kickoff

CAR

28%

NO

72%

Predicted winner

NO

Confidence

41%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

10–47

Winner NO. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NO
• Scoring+0.6 NO
• Scoring differential+0.4 NO
• Passing efficiency−0.2 CAR