Los Angeles Rams at San Francisco 49ers

Before kickoff

LAR

26%

SF

74%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

74%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

21–20

Winner LAR. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SF
• Scoring+0.4 SF
• QB yards/attempt+0.4 SF
• Passing efficiency−0.3 LAR