Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots

Before kickoff

SEA

55%

NE

45%

Predicted winner

SEA

Confidence

38%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–20

Winner SEA. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 NE
• Scoring−0.5 SEA
• QB yards/attempt−0.3 SEA
• Rushing defense+0.3 NE