Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders

Before kickoff

DEN

43%

LV

57%

Predicted winner

LV

Confidence

62%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

14–27

Winner LV. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 LV
• QB yards/attempt+0.5 LV
• Interception rate−0.2 DEN
• QB completion %−0.2 DEN