Denver Broncos at Seattle Seahawks

Before kickoff

DEN

53%

SEA

47%

Predicted winner

DEN

Confidence

28%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

20–26

Winner SEA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 SEA
• Passing offense−0.1 DEN
• Offensive touchdowns−0.1 DEN
• Turnovers−0.1 DEN