Arizona Cardinals at Philadelphia Eagles

Before kickoff

ARI

23%

PHI

77%

Predicted winner

PHI

Confidence

75%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

35–31

Winner ARI. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.6 PHI
• Scoring+0.5 PHI
• Rushing defense+0.3 PHI
• Scoring differential+0.2 PHI