Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2020 W4 · NYG at LAR	19% / 81%	9–17	64%	Correct
2020 W4 · PHI at SF	17% / 83%	25–20	66%	Miss
2020 W4 · SEA at MIA	72% / 28%	31–23	58%	Correct
2020 W3 · CAR at LAC	39% / 61%	21–16	47%	Miss
2020 W3 · CHI at ATL	30% / 70%	30–26	53%	Miss
2020 W3 · DAL at SEA	46% / 54%	31–38	42%	Correct
2020 W3 · DET at ARI	40% / 60%	26–23	46%	Miss
2020 W3 · GB at NO	34% / 66%	37–30	50%	Miss
2020 W3 · HOU at PIT	36% / 64%	21–28	49%	Correct
2020 W3 · KC at BAL	12% / 88%	34–20	66%	Miss
2020 W3 · LAR at BUF	35% / 65%	32–35	49%	Correct
2020 W3 · LV at NE	31% / 69%	20–36	53%	Correct
2020 W3 · MIA at JAX	23% / 77%	31–13	58%	Miss
2020 W3 · NYJ at IND	22% / 78%	7–36	59%	Correct
2020 W3 · SF at NYG	84% / 16%	36–9	63%	Correct
2020 W3 · TB at DEN	48% / 52%	28–10	40%	Miss
2020 W3 · TEN at MIN	59% / 41%	31–30	45%	Correct
2020 W3 · WAS at CLE	44% / 56%	20–34	43%	Correct
2020 W2 · ATL at DAL	30% / 70%	39–40	48%	Correct
2020 W2 · BAL at HOU	88% / 12%	33–16	60%	Correct
2020 W2 · BUF at MIA	80% / 20%	31–28	55%	Correct
2020 W2 · CAR at TB	35% / 65%	17–31	44%	Correct
2020 W2 · CIN at CLE	26% / 74%	30–35	51%	Correct
2020 W2 · DEN at PIT	37% / 63%	21–26	43%	Correct
2020 W2 · DET at GB	22% / 78%	21–42	53%	Correct
2020 W2 · JAX at TEN	22% / 78%	30–33	53%	Correct
2020 W2 · KC at LAC	64% / 36%	23–20	43%	Correct
2020 W2 · LAR at PHI	23% / 77%	37–19	53%	Miss
2020 W2 · MIN at IND	42% / 58%	11–28	40%	Correct
2020 W2 · NE at SEA	63% / 37%	30–35	43%	Miss
2020 W2 · NO at LV	70% / 30%	24–34	48%	Miss
2020 W2 · NYG at CHI	33% / 67%	13–17	46%	Correct
2020 W2 · SF at NYJ	78% / 22%	31–13	53%	Correct
2020 W2 · WAS at ARI	45% / 55%	15–30	38%	Correct
2020 W1 · ARI at SF	13% / 87%	24–20	52%	Miss
2020 W1 · CHI at DET	51% / 49%	27–23	27%	Correct
2020 W1 · CLE at BAL	5% / 95%	6–38	58%	Correct
2020 W1 · DAL at LAR	61% / 39%	17–20	34%	Miss
2020 W1 · GB at MIN	38% / 62%	43–34	34%	Miss
2020 W1 · HOU at KC	23% / 77%	20–34	45%	Correct