Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals

Before kickoff

DET

40%

ARI

60%

Predicted winner

ARI

Confidence

46%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

26–23

Winner DET. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 ARI
• Rushing defense+0.5 ARI
• Points allowed−0.4 DET
• Win percentage−0.4 DET