Miami Dolphins at Jacksonville Jaguars

Before kickoff

MIA

23%

JAX

77%

Predicted winner

JAX

Confidence

58%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–13

Winner MIA. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Home field+0.5 JAX
• Rushing defense+0.3 JAX
• Points allowed−0.3 MIA
• Scoring+0.3 JAX