San Francisco 49ers at New York Jets

Before kickoff

SF

78%

NYJ

22%

Predicted winner

SF

Confidence

53%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

31–13

Winner SF. Kickoff was correct.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Scoring−1.0 SF
• Passing defense−0.9 SF
• Rushing defense+0.7 NYJ
• Home field+0.5 NYJ