Kickoff model

Historical predictions

Walk-forward snapshots stored from information available before kickoff. These are historical simulations, not predictions Kickoff published publicly at the time. 1,865 games match the current filters. Regular season only.

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Production model is v0.2. v0.1 remains available for comparison. Missing games are not reconstructed from later results.

Historical Kickoff predictions matching the selected filters
Game	Kickoff lean	Final	Conf.	Call
2020 W1 · IND at JAX	69% / 31%	20–27	39%	Miss
2020 W1 · LAC at CIN	70% / 30%	16–13	40%	Correct
2020 W1 · LV at CAR	70% / 30%	34–30	40%	Correct
2020 W1 · MIA at NE	11% / 89%	11–21	53%	Correct
2020 W1 · NYJ at BUF	33% / 67%	17–27	38%	Correct
2020 W1 · PHI at WAS	74% / 26%	17–27	43%	Miss
2020 W1 · PIT at NYG	44% / 56%	26–16	30%	Miss
2020 W1 · SEA at ATL	53% / 47%	38–25	28%	Correct
2020 W1 · TB at NO	16% / 84%	23–34	50%	Correct
2020 W1 · TEN at DEN	60% / 40%	16–14	33%	Correct
2019 W17 · ARI at LAR	25% / 75%	24–31	74%	Correct
2019 W17 · ATL at TB	34% / 66%	28–22	68%	Miss
2019 W17 · CHI at MIN	26% / 74%	21–19	74%	Miss
2019 W17 · CLE at CIN	49% / 51%	23–33	57%	Correct
2019 W17 · GB at DET	37% / 63%	23–20	66%	Miss
2019 W17 · IND at JAX	64% / 37%	20–38	66%	Miss
2019 W17 · LAC at KC	31% / 69%	21–31	70%	Correct
2019 W17 · LV at DEN	39% / 61%	15–16	64%	Correct
2019 W17 · MIA at NE	6% / 94%	27–24	87%	Miss
2019 W17 · NO at CAR	83% / 17%	42–10	80%	Correct
2019 W17 · NYJ at BUF	30% / 70%	13–6	71%	Miss
2019 W17 · PHI at NYG	62% / 38%	34–17	65%	Correct
2019 W17 · PIT at BAL	4% / 96%	10–28	89%	Correct
2019 W17 · SF at SEA	51% / 49%	26–21	58%	Correct
2019 W17 · TEN at HOU	53% / 47%	35–14	59%	Correct
2019 W17 · WAS at DAL	10% / 90%	16–47	85%	Correct
2019 W16 · ARI at SEA	18% / 82%	27–13	79%	Miss
2019 W16 · BAL at CLE	89% / 11%	31–15	84%	Correct
2019 W16 · BUF at NE	17% / 83%	17–24	79%	Correct
2019 W16 · CAR at IND	19% / 81%	6–38	78%	Correct
2019 W16 · CIN at MIA	35% / 65%	35–38	67%	Correct
2019 W16 · DAL at PHI	47% / 54%	9–17	59%	Correct
2019 W16 · DET at DEN	39% / 61%	17–27	64%	Correct
2019 W16 · GB at MIN	23% / 77%	23–10	75%	Miss
2019 W16 · HOU at TB	45% / 56%	23–20	60%	Miss
2019 W16 · JAX at ATL	23% / 77%	12–24	75%	Correct
2019 W16 · KC at CHI	47% / 53%	26–3	58%	Miss
2019 W16 · LAR at SF	19% / 81%	31–34	78%	Correct
2019 W16 · LV at LAC	31% / 69%	24–17	70%	Miss
2019 W16 · NO at TEN	45% / 55%	38–28	60%	Miss