Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Before kickoff

GB

37%

DET

63%

Predicted winner

DET

Confidence

66%

Snapshot

In-season walk-forward

Stored from information available before kickoff in a walk-forward historical simulation. Kickoff did not publish this pick publicly at the time. Not betting advice.

Final

23–20

Winner GB. Kickoff was incorrect.

Why the model leaned this way

Model contributions (standardized feature × coefficient). Not causal explanations.

• Win percentage+0.9 DET
• Scoring differential−0.4 GB
• Recent form+0.3 DET
• Interception rate−0.3 GB